SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Malaga |
41.85% ( -0.02) | 29.06% ( -0.12) | 29.08% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.9% ( 0.42) | 63.09% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.46% ( 0.3) | 82.53% ( -0.3) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.2) | 29.79% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.14% ( 0.24) | 65.86% ( -0.25) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.35) | 38.35% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.89% ( 0.33) | 75.11% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 63 |
| 2 | Granada | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 59 |
| 4 | Levante | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 59 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Albacete | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Burgos | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Huesca | 33 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 41 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 41 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Leganes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 40 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 39 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 38 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
| 20 | Malaga | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 30 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 25 |
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