Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
