Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 41.48%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
