MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 20:43:58
SM
Sunday, May 7
Segunda Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
Ponferradina
4 - 0
Malaga
Naranjo (12', 44'), de Souza (53' pen.), Medina (83')
Copete (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

de la Fuente (34'), Escassi (77'), Brandon (78'), Calero (86')
Abaida (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawMalaga
39.36%30.95%29.69%
Both teams to score 38.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.52%68.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.75%86.26%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93%34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25%70.76%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.51%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 39.36%
    Malaga 29.69%
    Draw 30.95%
PonferradinaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 15.02%
2-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.22%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.36%
0-0 @ 13.95%
1-1 @ 13.41%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.95%
0-1 @ 12.45%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 29.69%

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Segunda Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1EibarEibar381813742321067
2Granada391991148291966
3AlavesAlaves391812944311366
4Levante391617641271465
5Las PalmasLas Palmas381616643271664
6Albacete391614954441062
7CartagenaCartagena38169134540557
8Real Oviedo391510143132-155
9TenerifeTenerife391314123934553
10Burgos381314113229353
11FC AndorraFC Andorra391410154133852
12MirandesMirandes391313134647-152
13Real ZaragozaZaragoza391116123737049
14Villarreal II391310164347-449
15Leganes391310163339-649
16Huesca391018113333048
17Sporting GijonSporting Gijon391115133941-248
18Racing de SantanderRacing391212153538-348
19Malaga39913173341-840
20PonferradinaPonferradina39815163450-1639
RUD Ibiza39611223165-3429
RLugoLugo39513212553-2828
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