Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
