Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
