Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
