Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elgin City in this match.
