Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
