Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
