SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 19.87% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
60.54% ( -0.01) | 19.58% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.89% ( -0.03) | 32.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.31% ( -0.04) | 53.69% ( 0.04) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( -0.01) | 10.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.06% ( -0.03) | 33.93% ( 0.03) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.02) | 29.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.99% ( -0.02) | 65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 60.54% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.08% Total : 19.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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