Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
