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Wednesday, November 1
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Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
AL
Motherwell
2 - 1
Aberdeen
van Veen (34'), Shields (45+3')
van Veen (35'), Carroll (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ramirez (3')
Hayes (32'), Gallagher (35'), Brown (69')

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Aberdeen

This Scottish Cup fixture is something that both teams need at the moment after failing to win a game since their fourth-round encounters. However, the lack of goals that Motherwell have been scoring is something that could prove to be a problem for them in this environment, which is why Aberdeen could edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
28.6%27.39%44.01%
Both teams to score 47.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39%57.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62%78.38%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26%35.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49%72.51%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99%26.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97%61.03%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 28.6%
    Aberdeen 44.01%
    Draw 27.39%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 12.51%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.01%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Tottenham HotspurSpurs108202291326
2Arsenal107302381524
3Manchester CityMan City108022271524
4Liverpool107212391423
5Aston Villa1071226141222
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1052326111517
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton105232319417
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd105051116-515
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham104241617-114
10Brentford103431612413
11Chelsea103341311212
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves103341317-412
13Crystal Palace10334813-512
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15Everton103161014-410
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest102441015-510
17Bournemouth10136821-136
18Luton TownLuton10127920-115
19Burnley10118825-174
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd10019729-221
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