MX23RW : Sunday, September 3 19:41:00
SM
Sunday, September 3
Previews and predictions index
HL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
ML
Hearts
2 - 0
Motherwell
Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')

We said: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell

With the two teams next to each other in the league table, there is obviously going to be little to separate them, as they have been evenly matched throughout the season. Having won a game each against each other within the campaign, they know how to get three points at the expense of the other, but Hearts could just edge this one with their attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
59.57%22.33%18.11%
Both teams to score 50.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.8%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41%15.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44%44.57%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94%40.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29%76.72%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 59.56%
    Motherwell 18.11%
    Draw 22.32%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 6.11%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 59.56%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.71%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.11%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic431083510
2Motherwell431063310
3St Mirren42208628
4RangersRangers42026246
5Ross County420256-16
6Dundee41215505
7Livingston412147-35
8Hearts41122204
9Kilmarnock411223-14
10Hibernian410378-13
11Aberdeen402237-42
12St Johnstone402226-42
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