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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock
AU
Morton
1 - 3
Ayr
Crawford (29')
Waters (20'), Baird (48'), Oakley (90')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ashford (7'), McGinty (34'), Akinyemi (43')
Dempsey (29'), Houston (36')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-2 Morton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
48.95% (-0.307 -0.31) 25.69% (0.216 0.22) 25.35% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (-0.777 -0.78)53.17% (0.778 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26% (-0.663 -0.66)74.74% (0.664 0.66)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (-0.453 -0.45)21.74% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (-0.69600000000001 -0.7)54.92% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.34499999999999 -0.34)36.01% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.357 -0.36)72.79% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 48.95%
    Ayr United 25.35%
    Draw 25.69%
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8% (0.169 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-2 Morton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-0 Dundee
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-2 Morton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-2 Arbroath
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-0 Ayr
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 0-1 Partick
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 4-1 Elgin (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-0 Ayr
Friday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-3 Ayr
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
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