SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Queen's Park | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Greenock Morton | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
58.43% ( 0.32) | 24.42% ( -0.08) | 17.15% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 42.93% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% ( -0.02) | 56.94% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% ( -0.02) | 77.85% ( 0.02) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0.12) | 19.38% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.82% ( 0.19) | 51.18% ( -0.19) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.24% ( -0.32) | 46.76% ( 0.32) |
