SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
50.51% ( -0.01) | 24% ( 0) | 25.48% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0) | 46.12% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0) | 68.41% ( -0) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( 0) | 18.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.63% | 49.37% ( 0) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( 0.01) | 32.09% ( -0.01) |
