SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
32.05% ( -0.34) | 25.99% ( 0.16) | 41.96% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( -0.79) | 50.87% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( -0.7) | 72.75% ( 0.7) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0.62) | 29.73% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.2% ( -0.76) | 65.8% ( 0.76) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.26) | 24.02% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.71% ( -0.37) | 58.28% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.05% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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