SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
26.02% ( -0.25) | 24.76% ( 0) | 49.22% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% ( -0.21) | 48.9% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( -0.19) | 70.99% ( 0.19) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.31) | 33.15% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.25% ( -0.34) | 69.75% ( 0.35) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.02) | 19.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.98% ( 0.03) | 52.02% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
