SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
25.1% ( -0) | 26.32% | 48.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% ( -0) | 55.72% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% ( -0) | 76.86% ( 0) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% ( -0.01) | 37.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.59% ( -0.01) | 74.41% ( 0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( 0) | 22.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.24% ( 0) | 56.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.71% 0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.14% 0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | RostovRostov | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | OrenburgOrenburg | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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