SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Sochi | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Krasnodar | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Khimki | 6 | -1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
56.88% ( -0.02) | 23.57% ( -0.04) | 19.54% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( 0.23) | 50.65% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.44% ( 0.2) | 72.56% ( -0.2) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.07) | 17.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.82% ( 0.13) | 48.18% ( -0.12) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.2) | 40.23% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.13% ( 0.18) | 76.86% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.88% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 13 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 39 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Sochi | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 22 |
| 14 | Fakel | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 13 |
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