Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
