Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.97%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
