Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match.
