Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
