Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
