Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.8%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
