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Newcastle vs. Arsenal: 18 hrs 19 mins
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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
CP
Spurs
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
Kane (32'), Moura (34'), Heung-min (74')
Sanchez (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zaha (26'), Tomkins (45+1')
Zaha (37')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace

Having named a strong team in midweek, Conte is valuing momentum over squad momentum, and we feel that will continue on Boxing Day. While Palace will pose a threat to their hosts on the break, Spurs should have enough in the tank to collect all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawCrystal Palace
58.11%22.79%19.1%
Both teams to score 50.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93%48.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75%16.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.23%45.78%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78%39.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07%75.93%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 58.11%
    Crystal Palace 19.1%
    Draw 22.78%
Tottenham HotspurDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.97%
4-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 19.1%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224
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