MX23RW : Sunday, April 9 13:27:33
SM
Liverpool vs. Arsenal: 2 hrs 2 mins
Nov 30, 2021 at 8.15pm UK at Elland Road
Leeds
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Crystal Palace

This is an extremely difficult game to call, as Bielsa's Leeds have been resilient at home in recent weeks, while Palace need no lessons in scoring goals away from home. However, with Vieira able to call upon some added attacking quality from the bench, we have faith in the Eagles to return to winning ways on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
51.13%25.21%23.67%
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71%74.28%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86%53.14%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.12%
    Crystal Palace 23.67%
    Draw 25.2%
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.67%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal29233370274372
2Manchester CityMan City29214475274867
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle291511348212756
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd2917574437756
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs30165955421353
6Aston Villa30145114140147
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28137852361646
8Liverpool28127948331543
9Brentford30101374740743
10Fulham29116123940-139
11Chelsea30109112931-239
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3087152442-1831
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham2986152739-1230
14Crystal Palace2979132439-1530
15Bournemouth3086162857-2930
16Leeds UnitedLeeds2978143849-1129
17Everton3069152343-2027
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3069152454-3027
19Leicester CityLeicester3074194052-1225
20Southampton3065192451-2723
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