SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
40.97% ( -0.76) | 26.82% ( 0.18) | 32.21% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( -0.53) | 54.18% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.64) | 26.03% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.94% ( -0.87) | 61.06% ( 0.87) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( 0.13) | 31.29% ( -0.13) |
