Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.