MX23RW : Sunday, September 11 19:51:18
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Dec 19, 2020 at 5.30pm UK at Goodison Park
Everton
2 - 1
Arsenal
Holding (22' og.), Mina (45')
Calvert-Lewin (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pepe (35' pen.)
Elneny (15'), Tierney (40'), Willock (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawArsenal
33.01%26.06%40.93%
Both teams to score 53.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09%50.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22%72.78%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95%65.05%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43%24.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95%59.05%
Score Analysis
    Everton 33.01%
    Arsenal 40.92%
    Draw 26.05%
EvertonDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.01%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.92%

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