Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw has a probability of 14.4% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline was Chelsea 2-0 Burnley with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines were 3-0 (11.06%), 1-0 (10.29%), 2-1 (8.71%). The actual score line of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9%.