Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.36%. A draw has a probability of 12.1% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 6.53%.

The most likely scoreline was Manchester City 2-0 Burnley with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines were 3-0 (10.88%), 2-1 (8.17%), 1-0 (7.88%). The actual score line of 2-0 was predicted with a 11.3%.