SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
40.71% ( -0.31) | 27.09% ( -0.15) | 32.2% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% ( 0.71) | 55.27% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% ( 0.58) | 76.49% ( -0.58) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( 0.17) | 26.67% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.08% ( 0.22) | 61.91% ( -0.22) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.69) | 31.86% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.7% ( 0.78) | 68.3% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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