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Apr 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Shamrock Park
Portadown
1 - 2
Larne
Bonis (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (9' pen.), Hale (70')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Portadown win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Larne in this match.

Result
PortadownDrawLarne
20.78%21.14%58.08%
Both teams to score 59.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65%38.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37%60.63%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87%13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48%39.52%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 20.78%
    Larne 58.08%
    Draw 21.14%
PortadownDrawLarne
2-1 @ 5.52%
1-0 @ 4.74%
2-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 20.78%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 8.46%
1-3 @ 6.71%
0-3 @ 5.87%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 3.42%
0-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.4%
0-5 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.08%

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