SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Crusaders |
10.01% ( 0.14) | 16.6% ( 0.08) | 73.38% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.05) | 40.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.05) | 62.4% ( -0.05) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( 0.3) | 47.45% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.17% ( 0.22) | 82.82% ( -0.23) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( -0.04) | 9.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.23% ( -0.09) | 31.76% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 10.01% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 16.6% | 0-2 @ 12.47% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 9.81% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.31% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 73.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| R | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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