SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
44.92% ( 0.38) | 24.95% ( -0.05) | 30.13% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( 0.07) | 47.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.06) | 69.41% ( -0.06) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0.2) | 21.04% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.16% ( 0.31) | 53.84% ( -0.3) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.19) | 29.18% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.88% ( -0.23) | 65.12% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | ColeraineColeraine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Loughgall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | LinfieldLinfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CrusadersCrusaders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | GlentoranGlentoran | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Newry City AFC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | GlenavonGlenavon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
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