Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.