Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
