Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
