SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 14.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Cliftonville in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville |
14.49% ( 0.35) | 19.94% ( 0.24) | 65.58% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -0.32) | 43.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( -0.31) | 66.2% ( 0.31) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( 0.3) | 42.42% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.2% ( 0.26) | 78.8% ( -0.26) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( -0.26) | 12.54% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.43% ( -0.55) | 38.57% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.49% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.94% | 0-2 @ 11.46% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.94% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 65.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LinfieldLinfield | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | LarneLarne | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | CrusadersCrusaders | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 8 | Loughgall | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 21 |
| 10 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 11 |
| 12 | Newry City AFC | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | -32 | 11 |
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