Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
