SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Linfield |
27.56% ( -0.03) | 26.58% ( -0.01) | 45.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( 0.04) | 55.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( 0.03) | 76.39% ( -0.03) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0) | 35.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0) | 71.99% ( 0) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.04) | 23.99% ( -0.04) |
