SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Larne |
28.99% ( -0.01) | 27.47% ( -0.01) | 43.53% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.24% ( 0.03) | 57.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% ( 0.03) | 78.5% ( -0.02) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.01) | 35.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.72% ( 0.02) | 72.28% ( -0.01) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 0.02) | 26.32% ( -0.02) |
