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Sunday, September 25
Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Moldova
1 - 2
Kazakhstan
Nicolaescu (45+1')
Reabciuk (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maliy (64'), Posmac (79' og.)
Suyumbayev (72'), Maliy (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Moldova vs. Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Moldova 0-1 Kazakhstan

Neither side is used to winning, even in the modest environs of League C, so the first leg could well be an attritional affair decided by a single goal. The visitors are best placed to take a lead back home for next Tuesday's return, given their higher standing and past results against some of Europe's mid-ranking nations. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Moldova win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.

Result
MoldovaDrawKazakhstan
36.77%24.87%38.36%
Both teams to score 58.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6%67.39%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59%58.41%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73%23.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8%57.2%
Score Analysis
    Moldova 36.77%
    Kazakhstan 38.36%
    Draw 24.86%
MoldovaDrawKazakhstan
2-1 @ 8.28%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.02%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.77%
1-1 @ 11.63%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.36%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Korea 4-0 Moldova
Friday, January 21 at 11am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-3 Uganda
Tuesday, January 18 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 4-1 Moldova
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Moldova 0-2 Scotland
Friday, November 12 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Moldova
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Moldova 0-4 Denmark
Saturday, October 9 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-0 Tajikistan
Tuesday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: France 8-0 Kazakhstan
Saturday, November 13 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-2 Finland
Tuesday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-2 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, October 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 2-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, September 7 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Finland 1-0 Kazakhstan
Saturday, September 4 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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