SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | France | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria | 5 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Croatia |
42.22% ( 0.12) | 24.73% ( -0.11) | 33.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.49) | 45.04% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.47) | 67.39% ( -0.47) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.27) | 21.38% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.41) | 54.36% ( -0.41) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( 0.23) | 26.24% ( -0.23) |
