SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | France | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Croatia |
53.7% ( -0.04) | 24.97% ( 0) | 21.33% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( 0.02) | 53.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 0.01) | 75.41% ( -0.02) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.01) | 20.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.69% ( -0.01) | 52.31% ( 0.01) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( 0.04) | 40.24% ( -0.04) |
