SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Aldershot Town | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 24 | Scunthorpe United | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | York City | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Woking | 8 | 4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | York City |
28.17% ( -0.9) | 24.57% ( -0.3) | 47.26% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.76) | 46.6% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( 0.71) | 68.87% ( -0.71) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.26) | 30.28% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.55% ( -0.31) | 66.45% ( 0.31) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.81) | 19.8% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.14% ( 1.31) | 51.86% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
| 5 | Barnet | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72 | 62 | 10 | 67 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Bromley | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 |
| 10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 55 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 53 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 |
| 17 | York City | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 56 | 84 | -28 | 43 |
| 20 | Gateshead | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 |
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 34 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 40 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 40 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 86 | -43 | 24 |
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