SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | York City | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Bromley | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Torquay United | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
45.9% ( 0.49) | 25.71% ( -0.02) | 28.38% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( -0.17) | 51.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.15) | 73.12% ( 0.15) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.15) | 22.32% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.21% ( 0.23) | 55.79% ( -0.23) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.45) | 32.55% ( 0.45) |
